Timeline
MPCJUN 05, 2026

Policy Repo Rate Held

Status quo; neutral stance; GDP forecast at 6.6%

NIFTY 50-1.25%vs T-60 baseline
USD / INR-1.26%vs T-60 baseline
INDIA VIX+7.17%vs T-60 baseline
10Y G-SEC+0.22%vs T-60 baseline
Cross-Asset Reaction Window
Surprise Analysis
Surprise DeviationHistorical volatility metric
-0.0σ

Actual PolicyRepo Hold
ConsensusHold expected

Macroeconomic Assessment

Cautious, data-dependent approach maintained.

Cross-Asset Reaction Matrix
Asset ClassT−60T+30T+2HT+1D
Nifty 50NIFTY--0.21%-0.21%-1.25%
USD / INRUSDINR--0.39%-0.39%-1.26%
India VIXVIX--0.63%-0.63%+7.17%
10Y G-SecGSEC-+0.14%+0.14%+0.22%
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